Green said Labor would win that seat "assuming that the postals and pre-polls aren't totally different than every other previous election". This includes seven Labor members (Tara Moriarty, Penny Sharpe, Greg Donnelly, Anthony D'Adam, Daniel Mookhey, Peter Primrose, Mark Buttigieg), five Liberal members (Damien Tudehope, Taylor Martin, Natalie Ward, Natasha Maclaren-Jones[a] and Aileen MacDonald), three Nationals members (Sarah Mitchell, Wes Fang and Sam Farraway), two Greens members (Abigail Boyd and Sue Higginson), two One Nation members (Mark Latham[a] and Rod Roberts), one Shooters and Fishers member (Mark Banasiak) and one Animal Justice member (Emma Hurst). Replaced by Emily Suvaal, Khal Asfour and Stephen Lawrence. With a new Labor candidate in 2019, Barilaro achieved a 9.1% swing, winning a majority on first preferences and 61.6% after the distribution of preferences. Realistically the Nats should hold this one but lose Bega considering National party strength as seen at the Hunter by-election. I guess its safe to say, that, to the extent that the repeat candidates represent the primary vote (PV) garnered in 2019 (just under 32% in Monaro in particular), the seat has more reliable form-guide information than its coeval seats. WebThe 2022 Federal Election campaign is well underway in the Eden-Monaro, with candidates gearing up for a tough race for the bellwether seat. Read and follow the instructions in the postal vote pack carefully. He easily won the contest with 53.3% after preferences and 56.3% in 2007. The National Party is defending three seats. Barilaro was re-elected in 2019, and retired in 2021. For the last 18 years, Willoughby has been held by former premier Gladys Berejiklian, who stepped down from the state's top job in October after her conduct was referred to the Independent Commission Against Corruption. Cochran retired in 1999 and poor Coalition relations at the time produced a three cornered contest, complicated further by Queanbeyan Mayor Frank Pangallo polling 12.7% as an Independent. Monaro by-election, 2022 Cause of by-election Sitting Nationals MP John Barilaro announced his resignation as deputy premier, Nationals leader and member for Postal votes for voters marked as having voted will be rejected. Voters can vote using these packs, or choose to attend a pre-poll centre between 31 January and 11 February, or a polling place on polling day 12 February. Monaro, also known as Maneroo (18561858), Monara (18581879) and Manaro (18941904) is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. Akister held the seat until 1988, serving as a minister from 1984 to 1988. With the Fahey government defeated in 1995, Cochrane became the first Member for Monaro to sit on the opposition benches since 1930. He went on a month's leave shortly afterwards and the policy was later settled in a less confrontational manner. Party codes: (ALP) Labor, (NAT) National, (GRN) Greens, (SFF) Shooters Fishers and Farmers, (IND) Independent, (AJP) Animal Justice Party. I disagree with the 4% margin it will more likely be 1-2% so very marginal afterwards. The margin is clearly inflated here from Bariliaros personal vote and the lack of a strong ALP campaign here in 2019 (as they were more focussed on holding this area at the federal election). I predict Nationals will win with a margin of around 4.17%, benefitted by OPV although it would be a significant swing due to the loss of Barilaros popularity. WebLocal government election results. I am running as an Independent in the Monaro By-election. The government was defeated, Neville Wran became Premier and Labors John Akister became the member for Monaro. 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"The Electoral Commission mustundertake a comprehensive review and analysis of the root cause [or causes] of the problem," a statement said. The Monaro seatalso has several contenders, including Greens candidate Catherine Moore, Labor'sBryce Wilson and the Nationals' Nichole Overall. The counting of postal ballot papers will begin on Saturday 19 February. In 1965, Seiffert retired, and his son ran as the Labor candidate, losing to the Liberal candidate Steve Mauger in a three-cornered contest, with Country Party preferences electing the Liberal by only 268 votes. WebMonaro State by-election12 February 2022. That could prove pivotal if the rumours are true that Barilaro is moving to Canberra. "We're currently considering whether to contest the by-election," Ms Willis said. "Labor hasn't held the seat for 10 years, it will be an impossible task," said NSW Labor Leader Chris Minns. The Nats then may hold by a similar margin in 2023 while losing government so this may not be a bellwether anymore. Labor has selected Jason Yat-sen Li a former United Nations Lawyer and current Pro-Chancellor of the University of Sydney who previously ran for the independent Asian-Australian political party Unity. Web2022 Monaro state by-election Party Candidate Votes % % National: Nichole Overall: 21,728 45.96 6.35 Labor: Bryce Wilson 15,102 31.95 +4.78 Greens: Catherine Moore Mr James is a member of the party's right faction and says he joined the Liberal Party at age 17 to help remove the Keating government. Kristy McBain MP, Member for Eden Monaro: It was great to give the keynote speech at the Inland Growth Summ Australian Politics / Just In Australian Labor Party: 2 March is Anthony Albaneses 60th birthday! Monaro is a southern NSW electorate that lies to the east and south of the Australian Capital Territory. Whan was appointed to fill a vacancy in the Legislative Council in June 2011. [1] The by-election was triggered by the death of Gus Miller (Labor).[2]. As well as pre-polling and postal voting, voters will also have the opportunity to vote on by-election day at a number of polling stations in their electorate. Sitting members are shown in bold text. Alex has been flooded with people in need of tests who can't find them. She served on the Animals Australia executive committee from 1996 to 2006 and the ACT Animal Welfare Advisory Committee from 1996-2013. In the re-shuffle following Andrew Stoner's resignation in 2014, Barilaro was appointed Minister for Small Business and Minister for Regional Tourism. In 1988, he lost his seat in the anti-Labor landslide to the National Partys Peter Cochran. (or 31% of 58,330 in Monaro at a state level), so its tempting to interpret these old results. "We just don't have enough time between the local government elections and these by-elections to reconfigure it," said NSW Electoral Commissioner John Schmidt. The Nationals has already announced Queanbeyan-based journalist, author, and social historian Nichole Overall as their candidate in the upcoming by-election. Although no other seats changed hands, each party suffered a swing against it. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. candidate Labor won and was untroubled until 2011. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Thanks for joining me tonight, bye for now. "They have an arrangement where they tend not to compete against each other between the state and the federal seat here," she said. She says she is waiting to see results from postal votes to flow in next week. ", Browse for your location and find more local ABC News and information. It covers the Snowy Monaro and Queanbeyan-Palerang council areas. A number of candidates have already been announced for the two South East NSW seats, including long-time Braidwood Greens member Catherine Moore for the Monaro. Meanwhile, Monaro previously held by former Deputy Premier John Barilaro is being contested by Independent Andrew Thaler, The Nationals Nichole Overall, Sustainable Australias James Holgate, Animal Justice Partys Frances Seymour, The Greens Catherine Moore and Labors Bryce Wilson. Commercial and other election results. Monaro was held by Labors John Seiffert from 1941 until his death in early 1965. Ms Farrelly is an author, architecture critic, essayist, columnist and public speaker. ABC chief elections analyst Antony Green says Labors Jason Yat-Sen Li will win the seat of Strathfield in Sydney's inner west. The mood among supporters of Nationals candidate for Monaro Nichole Overall is jubilant with plenty of beers flowing at Walsh's Hotel in Queanbeyan. Tonight was a major test for the Perrottet government and voters sent a clear message to the Premier who spent the last few weeks downplaying what was to come. Steven James Robert Whan (born 11 February 1964) is a former Australian politician who was a member of the New South Wales Legislative Council from 2011 to 2015. No polling company will rigorously sample 63% of 120,000 subjects. By-election day for residents from the two electorates, along with Willoughby and Strathfield seats in Sydney, will occur on February 12. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. WebHalf of the Legislative Council is not up for re-election. In October 2021, he announced his resignation as Deputy Premier, Leader of the National Party and member for Monaro, saying it was "the right time for me to hand the reins over". WebJosephine Lea Tanson Monaro 2023 State General Election Legalise Cannabis NSW Party 22/02/2023 Registered Joshua Black Dubbo 2023 State General Election Australian Labor Party (NSW Branch) 30/01/2023 Registered A fresh start for NSW, especially the seat of Dubbo, after 12 long years of Coalition government neglect. Bryce Wilson will be Labors Candidate in Monaro despite having a 9.1% swing against him last time. The by-elections are the result of a series of resignations of senior figures across both sides of the aisle. So, apart from securing Monaros place in trivia quiz longevity (one day), what does this mean? But even Whan's personal popularity was not enough to hold off the Labor landslide in 2011, new National candidate John Barilaro winning with 52.1% after preferences. Voters to go to the polls for Bega, Monaro by-election February 12, in less than four weeks. New South Wales Election Results 1856-2007. Considering it is a relatively safe seat, I thought thered be a more competitive field. She unsuccessfully ran as the federal Liberals candidate for the seat of Eden Monaro in 2019 and 2020, and said she hoped to continue the legacy of Andrew Constance ifelected to the state seat of Bega. He continued to serve in Monaro until his retirement in 1965. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. Unlike James in Willoughby, Overall is above 45%. "Race is used as a partisan politicalweapon for short-term gain but withdevastating long-term consequences. Coloured tab indicates seat won by a party forming government. The Monaro and Bega by-elections were prompted by the resignations of former NSW Deputy Premier John Barilaro and former NSW Transport Minster Andrew The ABC understands the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party will announce its candidate for the Bega by-election tomorrow. The NSW Electoral Commission has announced the iVote system used during the 2021 local government elections will not be available for the upcoming by-elections. You have entered an incorrect email address! It's a battle that is too close to call, with no result expected on the night after polls close in the Federal by-election for the bellwether seat of Eden-Monaro this Saturday. In Cootamundra; 28.3%, in total, was garnered by two candidates, namely, ALP and CDP, who re-contested in the by election. "The Animal Justice Party needs to run a candidate in a seat like this because of the scale of animal cruelty that goes on, " she said. If successfulshe will be the first woman member in the seat's 165-year history. Barilaros performance in Queanbeyan has been one of the biggest surprise stories over the last 10 years of the Coalition Government. Barilaros 2019 vote suggest he has a strong personal vote that the National Party will miss at the by-election. Queanbeyan-Palerang Regional Council countback election - 7 Feb He has previously contested Monaro, Eden-Monaro and the NSW Legislative Council. two-party preferred results by polling place and vote type. NSW Labor on the other hand, has announced they will put forward a candidate "at the appropriate time", although admitting the chances of winning the seat aren't in their favour. It is currently represented by Nichole Overall of the National Party. Cochran held the seat until 1999, when he retired. [2] Whan represented the electoral district of Monaro in the New South Wales Legislative Assembly for the Labor Party from 2003 until his defeat at the 2011 state election. this isnt Tamworth or Bathurst this is still marginal unlike those areas. WebMonaro By-election - NSW Electorate, Candidates, Results - ABC News Monaro By-election - NSW Election 2022 Share 83.2 % turnout, final figures NAT retain Nichole In 2003 Labor nominated Steve Whan as its candidate, son of a former federal member for Eden-Monaro and the defeated Labor candidate in that seat at the 1998 and 2001 federal elections. She resigned from her position as a columnist for the Sydney Morning Herald in 2021 to join Labor but never ran for the party. Two words showed something was wrong with the system, When Daniel picked up a dropped box on a busy road, he had no idea it would lead to the 'best present ever', the resignation of former NSW Nationals party leader and deputy premier John Barilaro, one of five by-elections across NSW believedto be takingplace in early 2022, Nichole Overall as their candidate in the upcoming by-election, Liberal pre-selection underway as party predicts 'tough battle' for Bega, NSW Nationals pick Nichole Overall to contest Barilaro's seat in by-election, NSW Deputy Premier John Barilaro resigns as Coalition crisis deepens, Plans to redevelop 'eyesore' on prime riverside land fall apart as billionaires exit, Rare sighting of bird 'like Beyonce, Prince and Elvis all turning up at once', 'What else is down there?' The Greens, the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party and the Animal Justice Party are each defending one seat. Losing the seat of Bega to Labor means the Perrottet government is deeper in minority government and will have to rely on the support of the crossbench to pass legislation. In 2019 Barilaro increased his majority with a 9.1% swing in his favour, a remarkable result at an election where the overall swing was against the government. WebThe 2020 Eden-Monaro by-election was held on 4 July 2020 to elect the next Member of the Australian Parliament for the division of Eden-Monaro in the House of